The human evidence is unusually good for a supplement and unusually modest in what it shows. Randomized trials establish that NR and NMN raise blood NAD+ within weeks, and a 6-week crossover trial in middle-aged adults, an 8-week dose-ranging trial, and a 60-day four-arm NMN trial all agree. Functional signals are scattered: better muscle insulin sensitivity in prediabetic women, longer walking distance in 80 healthy adults, faster 4-meter walks and better sleep scores in 60 older adults. Meta-analyses of eight to fifteen trials find no benefit for glucose control, lipids, or muscle mass and function.
The gap between biomarker and outcome is the whole story: raising NAD+ is proven, while preventing disease or slowing aging is not. Trials are short, mostly in healthy or mildly at-risk adults, and underpowered for hard endpoints. Whether specific groups with low baseline NAD+ benefit more is untested. Injectable and intravenous NAD+ products have no randomized evidence at all.